Eurovision 2023 Results – Statistical Analysis

Eurovision 2023 just ended last night, with the announcement of the winner: Loreen from Sweden.
As every year, we are delighted to give you the statistical analysis of the results!

The Winner Takes it All: Loreen

Loreen won the contest for the 2nd time. Her previous win was in 2012 with the song “Euphoria“
She is the first woman to win the contest on 2 different occasions. However, she isn’t the only person to do so. Irish singer Jonny Logan won the contest in 1980 and 1987.
Loreen won the jury vote with 340 points (out of 36*12= 432 possible points).
She was ranked 2nd in the public vote, with a total of 243 points.
This is the 7th win of Sweden in the history of the contest, marking it the country with the highest number of wins (alongside Ireland).
Next year, Sweden will host the contest, 50 years exactly after its first win with ABBA (1974)
The last time a woman won the contest was 2018 (back then it was Netta From Israel).
None of the countries gave the maximum points (12 points) to Sweden in the public vote!
However, Sweden got 10 points (the second place) from several countries: Norway, Albania, Estonia, Malta, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Iceland, and Australia.
This is the 4th time that the 9th song in the grand final running order has won the contest, Loreen joins to: Céline Dion (Switzerland 1988), Isabelle Aubret (France 1962), Udo Jürgens (Austria 1966).
15 national jury panels ranked Loreen as their winner: Israel, Finland, Moldova, Lithuania, Germany, Cyprus, the Netherlands, Denmark, Malta, Albania, Estonia, Spain, Ukraine, Ireland and the UK.

The Grand Final

This is how the jury voted:

This is how the public voted:

Rank	Country	Sum of Public Votes
1	Finland	376
2	Sweden	243
3	Norway	216
4	Ukraine	189
5	Israel	185
6	Italy	174
7	Croatia	112
8	Poland	81
9	Moldova	76
10	Albania	59
11	Cyprus	58
12	Belgium	55
13	Armenia	53
14	France	50
15	Lithuania	46
16	Slovenia	45
17	Czechia	35
18	Switzerland	31
19	Estonia	22
20	Australia	21
21	Serbia	16
22	Austria	16
23	Portugal	16
24	Germany	15
25	UK	9
26	Spain	5

The combined results are:

Jury Vote vs Public Vote

Unsurprisingly, we have some differences between the jury votes and the public vote.

While Sweden won the jury vote, the country was ranked 2nd by the public.
Finland won the public vote, while being ranked 4th with the jury.

The top 5 countries who had the biggest points gap between the jury and the public (much higher in the jury than the public) are:
- Estonia: 146 points from the jury (5th place), 22 points from the public (19th place) – a gap of 124 points which translate to 14 places.
- Australia: 130 points from the jury (6th place), 21 points from the public (20th place) – a gap of 109 points which translate to 14 places.
- Sweden: 340 points from the jury (1st place), 243 points from the public (2nd place) – a gap of 97 points which translate to a difference in one place.
- Spain: 95 points from the jury (9th place), and 5 points from the public (26th and last place) – a gap of 90 points which translate to 17 places.
- Austria: 104 points from the jury (8th place) and 16 points from public (22nd place) – a gap of 88 points which translate to 14 places.

The top 5 countries who had the biggest points gap between the public and the jury (much higher in the public than the jury) are:
- Finland: 376 points from the public (1st place), 150 points from the jury (4th place) – a gap of 226 points which translates to 3 places
- Norway: 216 points from the public (3rd place), 52 points from jury (17th place) – a gap of 164 points which translates to 14 places
- Ukraine: 189 points from the public (4th place), 52 points from the jury (15th place) – a gap of 111 points which translates to 11 places
- Croatia: 112 points from the public (7th place), 11 points from the jury (25th place) – a gap of 101 points which translates to 18 places.
- Poland: 81 points from the public (8th place), 12 points from the jury (24th place) – a gap of 69 points which translates to 16 places.

It’s all about 12 points

National Jury

Sweden received 15 sets of 12 points from the national jury of: Israel, Finland, Moldova, Lithuania, Germany, Cyprus, the Netherlands, Denmark, Malta, Albania, Estonia, Spain, Ukraine, Ireland and the UK.
Israel received 5 sets of 12 points from the national jury of: France, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Italy and Poland. The same goes for Italy, grabbing 12 points from the jury of 5 countries: Austria, San Marino, Romania, Croatia and Slovenia.
Belgium received 3 sets of 12 points from the national jury (from Australia, Greece and Georgia).
Australia received 2 sets of 12 points from the national jury (from Iceland and Portugal).
Finland received 2 sets of 12 points from the national jury in Sweden and Norway
Austria, Slovenia, Estonia, Ukraine and Czechia received one set of 12 points in the national jury vote.

Public Vote

Finland received 18 sets of 12 points from the public of: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Norway, San Marino, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom
Israel received 4 sets of 12 points from the public (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Rest of The World), and the same applies for Ukraine (Czech Republic, Moldova, Poland, Portugal).
Italy, Moldova and Armenia received 2 sets of 12 points from the public.
Albania, Cyprus, Norway, Croatia, Poland and Slovenia received 1 set of 12 points from the public.

Countries Making History

It is the second time in history that Israel has ended up in the 3rd place. The first time was in 1991, where the Duo Datz represented the country with the song “Kan“.
The top 3 of 2023 and the top 3 of 1991 share some patterns: Sweden wins, Israel in the 3rd place, and a country starting with F is in the 2nd place (France in 1991, Finland in 2023).
Finland achieves its 2nd best place in history (2nd place in the final). The only year where they achieved better was in 2006 when they won the contest.
The only country that didn’t vote for Sweden in the public vote was Finland. However, the Swedish public gave 12 points to Finland.
Finland received points from each possible country in the public vote.
This is the first time Austria has been represented by a female duo.
Lithuania was the only country that didn’t give any point to Norway (3rd place in the public vote).
4 of this year’s artists have already participated in the contest:
- Loreen (Sweden) : 1st place in 2012 and 2023
- Pashas Parfeni (Moldova): 11th place in 2012, 18th place in 2023.
- Marco Mengoni (Italy): 7th place in 2013, 4th place in 2023.
- Monika Linkytė (Lithuania): 18th place in 2015 and 11th place in 2023

Besides the 3 times in history (2009, 2013, 2017) where Serbia didn’t qualify, thre country achieves its lowest score in the final – 24th place.

Germany keeps on scoring low in the contest. Since 2015, it is the 4th time that the country has ended in the last place. In fact, it is the 7th time since 2015 that Germany has ended in the bottom 2 in the final.
Since 2014, a Big 5 country has always ended last in the final.
Even though Spain was one of the contenders to enter the top 5/ top 10, according to the betting odds, the country finished in 17th place (while being ranked last by the public).
Armenia and Azerbaijan have finally agreed on something! Both gave 12 points to Israel in the jury vote and in the public vote.
Australia have finished in the 9th place, just like in 2017 and 2019.
Czechia ended up in 10th place, achieving the second-best score of the country (In 2018, they ended 6th in the final). This is also the 2nd Top 10 score of the country.
Italy breaks a record in the modern era. The country has achieved 6th Top 6 position in a row: 2017(6th place), 2018 (5th place), 2019 (2nd place), 2021 (1st place), 2022 (6th place), and 2023 (4th place).
The UK suffers from the curse of the hosting country, as the country ended in 25th place. Portugal 2018, Israel 2019, and The Netherlands 2021 ended at the bottom as host countries as well.
Latvia and Georgia didn’t qualify for the final for the 6th time in a row since 2017 (remember: the contest was canceled in 2020).
This is the first grand final where Greece, Azerbaijan, and The Netherlands are all outside of the final.
This is the first time in history that Serbia, Slovenia and Croatia have all made it to the final!
Spain ended up in the 17th place in the final. By this, Spain has ended in each possible place in the final during its history in the contest (1-26):

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It Is All About The Visuals

Let’s take a look at the share of jury public points out of the points each country has received:

Does the running order have a meaning? Sometimes yes.
We took the results of the grand final in 2016-2023, and tried to find some intersting pattenrs:

Jury Points by Running Order

Public Points by Running Order

Combined Points by Running Order

Semi-Final 1

The first semi-final results are:

Croatia qualified for the final for the first time since 2017.
Switzerland has made it 4th qualification in a row (2019, 2021-2023). It can be considered a good achievement, following the fact they didn’t qualify in 2015-2018.
Serbia ends in 10th place in the semi-final once in 7 years: 2009, 2016, 2023.
After a long record of qualifications since 2016, The Netherlands failed to qualify.
Azerbaijan faces its second non-qualification in the history of the contest (the first time was in 2018).
Portugal has made its 3rd qualification in a row, (2021-2023). The last time this happened for the country was in 2008-2010.
Finland has made its longest qualification row since the introduction of the semi-final – 3 years in a row (2021-2023).
This is the 2nd time that Finland has won a semi-final (as in 2006).
Norway has kept its long qualification row (since 2017).
Sweden has kept its long qualification row (since 2011). This is the 3rd time the country ends in the 3rd place in the semi-final (as in 2014 and 2018).
Finland has received 7 sets of 12 points in semi-final 1 from: Latvia, Israel, Ireland, Norway, Sweden, Croatia and Germany. In general, all the countries that could have voted in semi-final 1, voted for Finland, with a minimum of 6 points from Moldova.
Sweden received 2 sets of 12 points from The Netherlands and Malta. In general, all the countries that could have voted in semi-final 1, voted for Sweden, with a minimum of 3 points from Italy.
Israel received 4 sets of 12 points from Azerbaijan, Moldova, Czechia and the rest of the world. In general, all the countries that could have voted in semi-final 1, voted for Israel, with a minimum of 1 point from Finland.
After Israel didn’t qualify for the final in 2022, the country qualified this year.
Czechia and Moldova have received points from each possible country that has voted in semi-final 1. Czechia received 12 points from Finland, while Moldova received 12 points from Italy and Portugal.
Malta ends in last place in the semi-final for the first time since the semi-final has been introduced.
This is the 6th time in a row that Latvia hasn’t qualified for the final. However, this is the closest time they have been to qualify – missing 4 points only to qualify.
It is the first time since 2006, that Croatia and Switzerland are both in the final.
All the foreign language songs have qualified for the final: Czechia, Serbia, Finland. Portugal. Croaria and Moldova.
All the countries that haven’t qualified from semi-final 1, were represented by groups or duos: Malta, Latvia and Ireland (bands), The Netherlands and Azerbiajan (duos).
This is the second time in a row that Czechia and Latvia are represented by bands.
Ireland haven’t qualified for the final since 2018. Beforehand, they qualified in 2013. This means that since 2014, the country has qualified only once.

Semi-Final 2

The second semi-final results are:

Australia has won a semi-final for the 3rd time in its history, the same thing happened in 2016 and 2019.
Slovenia has kept the same pattern of non-qualification for 2 years in a row, and then qualifying for 2 years in a row. Not qualifying in 2012 and 2013, qualifying in 2014 and 2015, not qualifying in 2016 and 2017, qualifying in 2018 and 2019, not qualifying in 2021 and 2022, and qualifying in 2023. Can we hope for Slovenia to qualify in 2024 as well?
Romania and San Marino have received their worst score ever, last in the semi-final with 0 points. The same happened to Switzerland in 2004 and Czechia in 2009.
Denmark hasn’t qualified for the final for the 3rd year in a row. This is their longest non-qualification period.
Armenia broke the curse of song number 2, and qualified for the final. The last time it happened was for Austria 2017. In fact, this is the 3rd time Armenia has been allocated as song number 2 in the semi-finals (the same happened in 2010 and 2015) and they managed to qualify in each single time.
Just as in 2015-2017, Belgium has a strike of 3 qualifictions in a row: 2021-2023.
After Cyprus didn’t qualify for the final in 2022, the country qualified this year.
This is the first time Austria has finished in the 2nd place in the semi-finals. This is the second best semi-final ranking for Austria (the best one is winning semi-final in 2014).
Lithuania has qualified for the final for the 3rd time in a row.
This is the second time that Estonia has finished in 10th place in the semi-final, just like in 2013.
Poland has received its best semi-final achievent, ending 3rd in the semi-final. Beforehand, their best semi-final achievement was 6th place.
Greece has made its 3rd non-qualificiatino in the history, after 2016 and 2018.
After 3 years of qualifications, Iceland hasn’t qualified for the final. However, it is the first time the country has ended in 11th place in the semi-final.
Georgia hasn’t qualified for the finals for the 6th year in a row.
Australia has received points from each country that could have voted in semi-final 2. This included 3 sets of 12 points from: Albania, Iceland and Estonia.
Austria has received points from each country that could have voted in semi-final 2. This included 12 points from Australia.
Estonia has received points from each country that could have voted in semi-final 2.
Poland received 2 sets of 12 points from: Ukraine and Lithuania. Australia and the rest of the world didn’t include Poland in their top 10.
Lithuania received 2 sets of 12 points from: the UK and San Marino.
Slovenia received 3 sets of 12 points from: Romania, Poland and Spain.
Cyprus and Greece gave 12 points to each other.
Armenia received 12 points from Belgium and Georgia, while Georgia received 12 points from Armenia
Albania received 12 points from the rest of the world.
Denmark only received points from Iceland.

Familiar Names in the National Jury

Eurovision fans will probably recognize the following names on the national jury panel:

🇦🇱 Eneda Tarifa – represented Albania at Eurovision 2016.
🇧🇪 Alex Callier (Hooverphonic frontman) – the band represented Belgium in Eurovision 2020-2021.
🇧🇪 Laura Groeseneken (AKA Sennek) – represented Belgium at Eurovision 2018
🇭🇷 Damir Kedžo – should have represented Croatia at Eurovision 2020
🇭🇷 Albina Grčić – represented Croatia at Eurovision 2021
🇩🇰 Lise Cabble – have written more than 10 songs for the Danish selection “Dansk Melodi Grand Prix”.
🇪🇪 Dagmar Oja – part of the duo Suured tüdrukud that participated in “Eesti Laul 2021“. Over the years, she was a backing singer for Estonia at Eurovision (for example in 2017)
🇪🇪 Liis Lemsalu – the singer participated in “Eesti Laul 2017”,
🇮🇸 Sigurjón Örn Böðvarsson – The singer was part of the Fókus hópurinn band who participated in “Söngvakeppnin 2018”
🇮🇪 Brooke Scullion – represented Ireland at Eurovision 2022.
🇮🇱 Adi Perry Cohen – the singer participated in “X-Factor For Eurovision 2022“.
🇱🇻 Aminata Savadogo – represented Latvia at Eurovision 2015.
🇱🇹 Vaidotas Valiukevičius – the lead singer of “The Roop” who represented Lithuania at Eurovision 20202 and 2021
🇲🇹 Brooke Borg – the singer participated in the national selection “MESC” in the years 2016-2018 and 2023
🇲🇹 Gerard James Borg – Maltese singer-songwriter who have wrote 6 of Malta’s songs at Eurovision (2000, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008 and 2017)
🇲🇹 Ludwig Galea – represented Malta at Eurovision 2014, as one half of the duo Julie and Ludwig.
🇲🇩 Aliona Munteanu (Aliona Moon) – represented Moldova at Eurovision 2013, and participated in the national selection in 2023.
🇷🇴 Elena Monica Anghel – represented Romania at Eurovision 2002
🇷🇸 Ana Djuric (Konstrakrate) – represented Serbia at Eurovision 2023
🇷🇸 Sara Jo – represented Serbia at Eurovision 2013 as part of a trio, participated in national selection for Eurovision 2023
🇪🇸 Marta Sánchez Gómez – participated in the Spanish selection for Eurovision 2022
🇸🇪 Clara Emma Klingenström – participated in “Melodifestivalen 2021”